Recent changes

Forecast graphs always updated weekly
Date Change
October 13, 2005 Catching up on this page - minor updates to FAQ, False Data, Glossary, Weimar & Argentina pages have been made over the last two weeks. Added some hurricane links to the weather page. Wrapped up the real estate page since we're pretty sure the relative performamce top is in. Also changed the overall behavior of site for external links - unless its an Adobe Acrobat PDF file, clicking will not open a new window.
September 23, 2005 Changes have been made in most predictice charts on the forecast page to account for the unusual and unpredictable recent events (7/7 London bombings, Katrina, Rita), and any large future unexpected events will cause a rapid chart update.
September 22, 2005 Updated LEI data (down .2% in August) on forecast page, and modified Fed Funds prediction to add in the potential of 1/2% hike in November.
September 20, 2005 Changed Fed Funds rate prediction for the next meeting. Updated the real estate page with likely our last comment, since the housing bubble has been pierced in our opinion.
September 18, 2005 Added some health care price chart popups to the CPI page.
September 11, 2005 Added an additional line to the Dow chart on the forecast page to show how our mechanical predictions fail when major unexpected events like the 7/7 London bombings and Katrina occur.
Sept 5, 2005 New version/model of the Fear/Calm Index released. Large changes in various Fed data has caused significant changes in most of the predictions on the forecast page, it may be time for a model change if they continue tracking poorly, in spite of the unpredictable 7/7 London bombings and Katrina effects.
August 28, 2005 Added comments from Mr. Greenspan's speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming on the real estate page. Added an article from the August 1929 "Ladies Home Journal" on the FAQ page, very interesting picture of the time right before the Great Depression.
August 21, 2005 Added a new page: German Weimar Republic in the early 1920s and the U.S. - Troubling similarities.The FAQ page now has a list of countries that have experienced hyperinflation since 1985. Oil demand forecast from Ed Yardeni available now in pop-up on forecast page.
August 16, 2005 Added a link on the links page to a good article on long term demographic trends.
August 10, 2005 Various charts added to weather page, links added to grains page.
August 7, 2005 "What nations have the most popular brands?", see FAQ page. Change in Fed Funds rate forecast. Added links on the real estate page to two articles questioning the supply demand figures.
August 1, 2005 Added a new page, "CPI rant". The Consumer Price Index, a big lie. Also added a tentative "Greed / Fear" Index to the forecast page
July 29, 2005 Real GDP chart & comments updated on forecast page. Added gold/silver valuation item on false data page.
July 25, 2005 Added a link to a chart of the Baltic Dry Index, a predictive aid, to the forecast page.
July 24, 2005 New US Drought charts on weather page. New comment on CPI calculation on FAQ page. News updated on real estate page.
July 21, 2005 Updated comments on LEI