Date | | Event | | Predicted outcome |
November 1, 2005 | | Federal Reserve meeting | | 1/2% up (5%), 1/4% up, and likely removing the word "measured" (70%) or no change (25%). Announcement is at 2:15 EST. |
December 13, 2005 | | Federal Reserve meeting | | Either 1/4% up (50%), 1/2% up (15%) or no change (35%). (On an historical average, the Fed starts lowering rates about five months after the last rate increase.) |
January 2006 | | Alan Greenspan retires? | | Replaced with Ben Bernanke? |
January 27, 2006 | | 8.6 year global confidence cycle low | | Stock market starts stabilizing |
January 31, 2006 | | Federal Reserve meeting | | Likely no change (80%).(On an historical average, the Fed starts lowering rates about five months after the last rate increase.) |
February 12, 2006 | | 78 week stock market cycle low (last low Aug 15, 2004) | | Stock market bottoming |